(expired)Spread Betting Preview 13-14 Sep

Normal service resumes this weekend when the Premier League rockets back to life following a week of drab international fixtures. The Sporting Index traders have two mouth-watering ties to price up and they will have a major bearing on the direction of the title come May. On Saturday evening two of the richest clubs in the world meet at Eastlands when Phil Scolari takes his Chelsea side up to face Arab-owned Man City. Spread punters will undoubtedly be interested in the bookings market, as tensions are likely to be high due to the Robinho-factor. However, let’s kick off precedings with another likely tempestuous affair, when Liverpool host Man United in the lunchtime kick-off.

Buyers of United supremacy at 0.4 with Sporting Index will take great heart from their team winning seven of the last eight meetings between the two sides. However, spread bettors should be aware that although Sir Alex Ferguson’s side haven’t lost in the league at Anfield since 2001, the last time they won by more than a one-goal margin was in 1997. Those punters buying total goals at 2.4 will be hoping for a repeat of last year’s tie at Old Trafford when United easily dispatched their bitter rivals 3-0. However, of concern to those buyers will be the fact that all of the past five meetings between these two at Anfield have either had one or no goals.

The Sporting Index traders normally love low-scoring matches where not a great deal happens. However, sellers have been taking advantage of this pattern in recent games between the two sides. 75% of Liverpool’s last 11 Big Four matches have ended up with two goals or less, whilst nine of United’s last 14 against the top teams have been under this figure. The more risky members of the spread betting fraternity will often look for more volatile markets like buying and selling the time of a side’s first goal. Sellers of the time of the first Liverpool goal at around 62 minutes may well fancy their chances of Rafa Benitez’s side breaking the deadlock before the break. However, incredibly, Liverpool have failed to score against the Red Devils in all of the last seven Premier League games, which would appear to be like buying money for those Liverpool first goal buyers.

Big Phil will unsurprisingly still be fuming with his fellow countryman Robinho for rejecting Chelsea and moving to Man City at the last minute, and the Sporting Index traders have come up with some interesting specials on the debutante’s performance. Their spread for his playing minutes is 83-85, whilst there will undoubtedly be some interest in their prediction that his first shot on target will be between the 55^th and 58^th minutes. Chelsea have an outstanding record against the Sky Blues, having won all of the last six ties against them. Buyers of their supremacy on the spreads will be licking their lips following the 6-0 demolition at Stamford Bridge last October. They will also take heart from Chelsea winning 82% of their last 28 away games against teams who had finished outside the top six the season before. However, three of their last four away victories at City have come by only a 1-0 score-line.

Those punters interested in buying the time of the first Liverpool goal against United may end up going for the double with City. They have exactly the same record against Chelsea, having not scored a goal in the last seven encounters. Total goals buyers at 2.5 with Sporting Index will also be concerned to hear that 13 of the last 16 games which the Sky Blues have played against Big Four opposition at home have finished with two or less goals. The West London outfit also appear to be a sellers dream, with 17 of their last 19 away games producing less than 2.5 goals.

Although some spread punters will expect a fiery encounter with the arrival of Robinho, it’s worth bearing in mind that in the last six games between these two in Manchester, only one game has had a final bookings make-up of more than 30. Sellers at around 46 will therefore be hoping for a repeat of any of the other five games, including last year when one solitary yellow card was handed out.

The F1 bandwagon rolls onto Monza, the home of Ferrari, this weekend and Lewis Hamilton will be looking to avenge his disqualification in Spa. He is still in the lead in the Championship race but now by a diminishing two-point margin and those who have bought his spread for season points will be hoping for a bit more luck on Sunday. Hamilton supporters in Sporting Index’s race index will be pleased to hear that McLaren have won two of the last three races at Monza, including a 1-2 last year. However, Ferrari have won the other four in the past six years. Spread punters should also probably wait to declare their hand until qualifying is well underway, as the winner of the last five races here has started on the first line of the grid, with four of those starting in pole. The circuit is famous for the need to combine speed with skill and those selling the time of the winning distance will be delighted to hear that none of the last six winners have won by more than 8 seconds.

The St Leger, the final classic of the flat season, takes place at Doncaster on Saturday and with the way the ground has been lately, buyers of winning distances will be hoping for some more downpours. The 1m6f stamina test has actually been a happy hunting ground for favourites in recent years, with seven of the last 10 winning, obviously a pleasing stat for those selling SP’s with Sporting Index. However, despite the strong record of favourites, it may come as a surprise that in the past six runnings, only one horse has won by a distance of more than 1 ¼ lengths (and that was only 2 ½).

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