(expired)Sporting Index: Spread Betting Preview 4-5 Oct
Bookmakers throughout the land breathed a collective sigh of relief when Hull managed to beat Arsenal at the Emirates in the Premier League on Saturday. It didn’t affect the spread betting world quite as much, but the Sporting Index traders were still smiling that the Gunners got turned over. The Tigers have had an excellent start to the season, with 11 points from a possible 18, and are still yet to be beaten away from home. Some punters may then find it strange that Sporting Index still have them to go down in their season points index. The spread is currently 35-36.5 points, but buyers of their points will be intrigued to learn that none of the six promoted sides to have 10 or more points after six games have ever been relegated. Of even more concern to sellers is that, of the 11 teams who had eight or more points after half a dozen games, only West Brom have gone down, whilst over half (6/11) have finished in the top half of the table.
The Tigers were expected to be the Premier League whipping boys this campaign and were available to buy at 28.5 on the spreads before a ball had been kicked. Buyers pre-season will already be delighted that they can lock in a profit of eight points, but they will be even more pleased to hear that only two of the 10 promoted sides who had won their first game of the season (as Hull did against Fulham) were relegated. As if that isn’t good enough, over the last 13 seasons, exactly 100 teams have had double figure points after six games and not one has been relegated.
Arsenal will be looking to get back on track after last weekend’s defeat and Sporting Index currently have them to finish fourth (points spread 74.5-76) in their season points table. They travel up to the North East to take on Sunderland and buyers of the Gunners supremacy at 1.2 will be glad that Arsene Wenger’s side have won all of their last four trips there. However, they only won last year 1-0 thanks to a Theo Walcott first half effort. Sellers of the time of the first Gunners goals will be encouraged that they have scored first in 50% of their 22 away league matches since the start of last season. Their record of nine half-time / full-time away wins in that time is second only to Chelsea, whilst the Black Cats lost half-time/full-time to all of the Big Four last campaign.
Sellers of the time of the Wearsider’s first goal will be encouraged to see that they took the lead early on at Villa Park last weekend. However, incredibly, Sunderland’s last home game against Middlesbrough was the first occasion they had scored first in a Premier League match since February. Buyers of the Sunderland first goal will also take great encouragement from the fact that they have failed to score in nearly seven hours of football at home against Arsenal.
With the samba-style of football on show at Eastlands these days, the spread betting goal buyers will be out in force for Man City v Liverpool on Sunday, especially after the 6-0 mauling they handed out to Pompey a fortnight ago. However, only four of City’s last 17 home games against the Big Four have ended with more than 2 goals, whilst more than half have ended 1-0. Total goals sellers will also take great delight that none of the Reds three away games this season have had more than 2 goals, whilst this fixture at the City of Manchester Stadium has ended goalless for the past two campaigns. In fact, the past seven games between these two have all had 1 or fewer goals – normally the ideal type of game for the Sporting Index traders; but perhaps not on Sunday.
The Super League Grand Final takes place on Saturday at Old Trafford and is a repeat of last season when Leeds thrashed St Helens 33-6. St Helens were favourites last year in the supremacy market and those punters who sold were celebrating for a long time afterwards. Sporting Index currently have the Lancashire side as the favourites again and buyers of their supremacy will be pleased to hear no side has retained the title since St Helens in 2000. The winning margin in the past two finals has been 27 and 22 which will be of interest to those punters buying or selling supremacy. The weather will obviously affect the total points spread, but 39 last year was the highest total in the last seven years.
There is some fantastic horseracing action this weekend and the highlight on these shores is the first leg of the Autumn Double, the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket. This is one of the biggest handicaps of the entire flat season and buyers of SP’s on the spreads will be hoping for a repeat of 2004 winner Spanish Don who came in at 100/1. However, since then two of the last three favourites have obliged and half of the last 10 winners have been single-figure prices, which will please the sellers. Only one horse in the past decade has won with a single-figure draw (Spanish Don), although Pipedreamer wasn’t too far away in stall 11 last year. 9 stone or more has proven a tough burden to carry, with only two of the past 10 winners racing off that mark. Winning distance punters might expect this cavalry charge to go right to the wire, but two of the past three winners have won by 2 ½ lengths or more.
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