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10th March, 2010

Pre-Election Budget In-Depth Betting Preview 24 Mar 2010

Leading bookmaker Paddy Power have launched a range of betting opportunities around the forthcoming budget following today’s announcement that Alistair Darling will deliver his much-awaited pre-election balancing of the nations coffers on Wednesday 24 March.

And with the likelihood of the election being called just weeks later Paddy Power reckon there won’t be too many unpleasant surprises for the British voting public.

Its evens with Paddy Power that the top rate of income tax will be remain somewhere between 46p to 50p and 8/13 that the standard rate of VAT will remain between 16.5% to 17.5%. They make an increase in job seekers allowance their odds-on favourite 2/5 and 10/11 for corporation tax to remain uncharged. The bad news for the public is Paddy Power is expecting another rise in the duty on alcohol.

Paddy Power said: “We don’t think there’ll be too many surprises with the Chancellor somewhat hamstrung by the forthcoming Election. Of course, we could be completely wrong and Darling may choose to go out all guns blazing to leave as much mess as possible in the hope that a Conservative government suffer the consequences.”

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10th March, 2010

Bangladesh v England: Test Series – Kevin Pietersen, England And Series Betting Specials

The pressure is mounting on Kevin Pietersen to deliver against Bangladesh and the bookies aren’t convinced he can come into form, Paddy Power has his first innings total of only 21-40 runs as the 3/1 favourite and 8/1 for a duck. We have to wait and see which KP turns up, his up and down form means you can get the same odds of 3/1 for him to score 51-100, 151-200 or 251+ across the series.

Pietersen is 7/2 to be England’s top scorer in the first innings, Captain Cook is the favourite though at 10/3.

England are odds on to win the series and to win 2-0, however if Bangladesh show some of the same spirit from recent games they could cause an upset and are 7/1 to win the opening game.

Roberto Coladangelo, spokesman for Paddy Power, said, “Whilst England are the clear favourites they may not get it all their own way and if key batsmen like Pietersen don’t score they could face a challenge from an up and coming Bangladesh side.”

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10th March, 2010

Paddy Power Imperial Cup At Sandown: Updated Betting Preview 13 Mar 2010

LEADING OWNER J P MCMANUS faces an anxious wait until he finds out if Qaspal, backed this morning into 11-2 second favourite from 13-2 joint second favourite with Paddy Power for Saturday’s Paddy Power Imperial Cup at Sandown, will even get a run in the 70,000 feature.

Despite a 14lb penalty for his last victory, the six-year-old, who is trained by Philip Hobbs and has won his last two starts at Kempton and Sandown, requires six horses above him in the weights to defect to get a definite run in the 24-runner Paddy Power Imperial Cup, although if four higher than him decided not to run then he could be one of the two reserves allowed for the contest.

Frank Berry, racing manager to J P McManus, said: “It’s all up in the air and we don’t know which way we’re going as a few of them are in at Cheltenham as well.”

“Qaspal at the bottom of ours might not get in the Paddy Power Imperial Cup but he is a definite runner if he gets in. He has got a pretty big penalty, but did it nicely at Sandown.”

“We wouldn’t mind if the ground was soft on Saturday and don’t know what he’ll be like on good ground, but he has come out of his last race well and we’re hoping that he will run well.”

Qaspal’s participation in the Paddy Power Imperial Cup is even more crucial to connections as to realistically get a run in either the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle or the Vincent O’Brien County Handicap Hurdle, he needs to win at Sandown and receive a 5lb penalty for either contest.

Qaspal is a 10-1 chance with Paddy for the Martin Pipe and the same price (from 16-1 this morning) for the County with the world’s friendliest layer.

McManus’s three other Paddy Power Imperial Cup possibles are Stradbrook, a 20-1 chance with Paddy Power, and Bellvano and Sway, 7-1 and 12-1 respectively with the bookie.

Berry continued: “Stradbrook could run as well and the other two are both in at Cheltenham and we’ll decide on Thursday morning what we’re doing.”

“Stradbrook was a bit disappointing at Cheltenham last time but sure that’s him and he has good and bad days. On a good day he’s not too bad, on a bad day he’s moderate. But he seems to be in good form and again hopefully he’ll run well.”

“Bellvano and Sway could easily wait for Cheltenham. Bellvano is progressing all the time and he is a nice big horse. It would be a step up for him in handicap company and we’d have to see how he copes.”

“Sway was just unlucky the last day and she fell a good bit from home when travelling well at the time. We were hoping to learn something about her there and we didn’t manage to, but we’re hoping she’ll come back and run a nice race.”

A win for any of McManus’ possible quartet will allow them to have a crack at a £75,000 bonus from Paddy Power to the connections of the winner of this race should the same horse go on to win any race at the 2010 Festival Meeting at Cheltenham from March 16th-19th, 2010. This will be distributed as follows: £50,000 to the winning owner, £15,000 to the winning trainer and £10,000 to the winning stable.

Asked if Qaspal or Stradbrook won the Paddy Power Imperial Cup, they would then have a crack at the bonus, Berry responded: “They both have entries at Cheltenham and we’ll see if they get in the County or something like that, but it depends upon them getting in.”

So far David Pipe and his father Martin are the only trainers to have pulled off the Paddy Power Imperial Cup-Festival race double, scooping the additional pot in the process. Martin managed it twice courtesy of Olympian (1993) and Blowing Wind five years’ later. The former went on to win the Coral Cup, while Blowing Wind landed the Vincent O’Brien County Hurdle.

David emulated his dad in 2007 with Gaspara, who later was an easy five length winner of the Fred Winter Juvenile Novices’ Handicap Hurdle in the colours of a certain Mr M C Pipe!

In 2008 he again won the Paddy Power Imperial Cup with Ashkazar, who was three and a half lengths too powerful for Fredensborg under an inspired Timmy Murphy ride, but the winner was unable to cope with Crack Away Jack in the Fred Winter in which he went down by two and a half lengths.

Last year David again came close to landing the Paddy Power Imperial Cup when Seven Is My Number found only Dave’s Dream too good.

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10th March, 2010

Cheltenham 2010: Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle – Dunguib Betting Preview. Plus, Tuesday’s Other Races 16 Mar 2010

PADDY POWER, who could be reeling from a multi-million pound payout if their 4-5 favourite Dunguib wins the Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle, will also donate £1,000 to Spinal Research for every length that the ‘Irish banker’ wins the race by.

Trainer Philip Fenton, who today removed Dunguib from the Champion Hurdle but left him in the Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle, said: “If Dunguib wins the Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle by half a length, that will do us, but hopefully he can do better than that for Spinal Research.”

Leading owner Andy Stewart, whose son Paul broke his back in a snowboarding accident, is sponsoring the Spinal Research Supreme Novices’ Hurdle on behalf of Spinal Research.

He added: “As always Paddy Power are lengths ahead of other bookmakers in terms of their generosity and innovation as far as betting is concerned.”

“I won’t be having any of Paddy’s 500-1 that Gordon Brown is the next CEO of Ladbrokes, but their imagination in pricing up things like that is commendable.”

“They are also great supporters of charity and I have a runner in the Paddy Power Imperial Cup and am also on their Cheltenham Festival preview panel after racing at Sandown from which Spinal Research will again benefit.”

Paddy’s multi-million pound payout to punters in the event of a Dunguib victory will occur because not only will the bookie pay out on all winning bets, but he has also pledged to refund all losing win single bets on the Spinal Research Supreme Novices Hurdle if Dunguib wins!

Meanwhile Fenton added: “Dunguib is grand and all has gone very smoothly, no problems thankfully.”

“He’ll possibly jump a few flights, just three, on Thursday morning, before he heads off. We’ve taken him out of the Champion Hurdle and he goes for the Supreme. I’ve been very happy with him since Leopardstown, he’s jumped several hurdles since and he’s jumped them well. He’s been good and accurate.”

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10th March, 2010

Paddy Power: Cheltenham 2010 – Special Price 5-1, Barry Geraghty To Be Top Jockey At The 2010 Cheltenham Festival[Valid 8am-9pm, 11 Mar 2010]

Cheltenham 2010

Barry Geraghty to be top Jockey at the Cheltenham Festival – Special Price 5/1!

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10th March, 2010

Formula 1: 2010 Season In-Depth Betting Preview

The Blue Square traders have safely reported that we haven’t seen anything like the kind of pre-season gamble we saw last year on eventual winner Jenson Button. The 2009 champion set off alarm bells as his testing with the Brawn team appeared to be a cut above the opposition. Early season dominance gave them the right momentum to cope with an end of season slump and they secured the Constructor’s title with ease. Button’s championship was punting gold for backers who had taken prices of 100/1 down to 5/1 before that season got underway in Australia. Button now teams up with fellow Brit’ and 2008 champion Lewis Hamilton at McLaren. Lewis and Jenson haven’t attracted the kind of patriotic support that say, for instance an English football or cricket team would provoke. Maybe it’s something to do with their essentially German driving force? Although McLaren have parted ways with Mercedes (who have taken over the Brawn team) it will still be the Mercedes-Benz FO 108X under the distinctive silver car’s hood. Stevenage born Lewis is a weak looking 7/2 second favourite (from 5/2) and teammate Button is another one on the slide, 6/1 out to nearly double that.

The main money has come for a German man rather than machine, although some of his exploits when World Champion suggested he was maybe not human. Michael Schumacher returns to the F1 circus as a lead driver at the new Mercedes GP outfit. The team’s former name of Brawn was synonymous with Schumacher’s unmatched success from his Ferrari days and Manchester born Ross will be at his side once more as they try to turn back the clock. Schumacher has been backed from 12/1 into 5/1 to win an eighth Drivers’ Championship. Fellow German Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull) is another driver that has been well supported at 5/1. Fernando Alonso is finally a Ferrari driver and that fact alone has attracted money, he went from 3/1 in to a price of 5/2 favourite.

Jenson Button has it all to prove against Hamilton and it will surely be no longer than the tenth race on their home track that the Somerset born driver becomes nothing more than an obvious second car. The World Drivers’ Championship hasn’t had a less visible winner since Michael Schumacher’s win at all costs performance in the 2003 season. Eight of the last ten races saw Button’s driving-suit come home smelling of sweat rather than Champagne. Podium finishes in Italy and Abu Dhabi the only highlights after achieving his sixth win in Turkey. Of course it was better than Lewis achieved in what was a year to forget. Disqualification in the first race in Australia after lying about an overtaking move set the tone. After finishing near enough last in Germany the car did manage to sparkle a little to give his army of fans plenty of hope for this campaign.

The Constructors’ Title is always a joint effort and it’s hard for one driver to single handedly claim the prize for his team. That said, only once since the year 2000 has a driver become champion without landing the constructors’ as part of the triumph. That was Lewis Hamilton in 2008 as his then McLaren teammate Heikki Kovalainen offered up the paltry sum of one win and two podium finishes to go with Lewis’ 98 points. Kovalainen has rightly been consigned to a career down the grid at returning Lotus. 7/4 favourites Ferrari attach upmost importance to this aspect of the season and with two solid drivers in a competitive car will surely rack up plenty of points. Mercedes are fourth in the betting at 4/1, with McLaren and Red Bull at 9/4 and 3/1 respectively. It’s hard to give any hope to teams outside of that quartet and there doesn’t look to be a surprise Brawn package – those kind of things happen once rather than twice in a generation. The odds reflect this as the market picks up again with 28/1 Sauber and 40/1 or bigger the rest.

We have an extensive range of ‘season long’ markets at Blue Square and a whole host of outrights and specials for each race during the year. One market that looks particularly fascinating is the one which asks if a driver will win a race during the season. We are also offering the negative side – drivers not to win a race. For instance Michael Schumacher is 4/11 to win at least one race during the year, and is 2/1 to fail. I like the look of Robert Kubica to eventually drag his Renault past a chequered flag towards the end of the season (after some obvious early struggles) – he’s 4/1 to take at least one race, and while he may keep us waiting that could be a nice bet for an interest throughout the year.

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10th March, 2010

Europa League: Round Of 16 Betting Preview

The Europa League continues tomorrow and Sky Bet are offering a host of football betting opportunities. After being dumped out of the Champions League and struggling to cement a position in the top 4 of the Premier League, Rafa Benitez will be desperate for his team to perform on the European stage. It’s 2/1 for Liverpool to win both their last 16 ties against Lille and 1/7 they progress further than Fulham, who face a tough last 16 tie against Juventus (4/1 Fulham).

Liverpool lifted the UEFA Cup in 2001 and it’s 9/2 that they go on to repeat that success this season. It’s 11/4 for the Reds European dream to come to an end at the current stage, 3/1 the quarter-finals and 100/30 the semi-finals. It’s 4/1 for Liverpool to finish as runners-up.

With Fulham and Liverpool both representing the Premier League, it’s 7/2 for both teams to progress through to the quarter-finals. 25/1 is on offer for Liverpool and Fulham to meet each other in the Europa League final.

Sky Bet’s football betting spokesman Tim Reynolds said: “The Europa League represents Liverpool’s only realistic chance of silverware this season but if they play like they did against Wigan then their European campaign could come to an abrupt end against Lille.”

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10th March, 2010

Sky Bet: Premier League Darts – Week 5 Betting Preview 11 Mar 2010

Last week saw Phil Taylor maintain his 100 percent start to his Whyte & Mackay Premier League Darts campaign with an 8-2 demolition of Raymond van Barneveld. Taylor takes on Mervyn King tomorrow in Manchester and Sky Bet are offering 6/4 for the world number one to keep up his unbeaten record and go on to lift the title (1/2 get beaten).

After 26 180s were hit in Exeter last week, it’s 13/8 for 25 to 29 maximums are thrown in Week 5 (9/4 24 or fewer & 11/8 30 or more). Mervyn King and Adrian Lewis shared the hours last week in the ‘who will throw the most 180s market’, they are 10/1 and 5/2 respectively to throw the most this week. It’s 11/8 that the Adrian Lewis vs Simon Whitlock match contains the most maximums with the clash of the night Phil Taylor vs Mervyn King 2/1 (10/3 Jenkins v Barney & 6/1 Wade v Baxter).

Sky Bet’s darts betting spokesman Tim Reynolds said: “Taylor has yet to reach top gear in this year’s Premier League and he could be venerable against King if he’s not firing on all cylinders. King ended Taylor’s Premier League dominance last year and he will be desperate to inflict another defeat on the world number one and close the gap at the top of the table.”

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10th March, 2010

Sky Bet: Danish International Nicklas Bendtner And Arsenal Betting Specials

Last night saw Nicklas Bendtner silence his critics with a hat-trick to help guide Arsenal past Porto and through to the quarter-finals of the Champions League. It was Bendtner’s first senior hat-trick and he’s 7/2 to score a hat-trick in any one of Arsenal’s 9 remaining Premier League games. The Danish international, who has now scored a total of 8 goals in all competitions, is evens to score 13 or more goals this season (8/11 12 or fewer).

With Arsenal now in the hat for the quarter-final draw, Sky Bet make Arsenal 8/11 to be eliminated at the next stage. It’s 5/2 for the Gunners to be eliminated at the semi-final stage, 13/2 they finish as runners-up and it’s 8/1 they go on to claim the Champions League title.

Sky Bet’s football betting spokesman Tim Reynolds said: “Bendtner’s hat-trick was very costly to Sky Bet with over £150 placed at 40/1 that the Danish international would get three goals. We were happy to lay him after his performance against Burnley but the Sky Bet customers are now having the last laugh.”

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